Short Base Breakout Failure
Note: The historical stock examples given below are for EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY. They ARE NOT to be used to make buy/sell decisions in today's market. For more information, please read the HSR Terms of Use.
Description
This price behavior unfolds in four (4) steps:
Step 1: Price has a sharp move higher that's often punctuated with wide range and heavy volume.
Step 2: Price consolidates sideways for 1-4 weeks.
Step 3: Price breaks out to new highs for 1-3 weeks.
Step 4: Price fails and reverses back down below Step 1's high.
Behavior Note: Step 1's price action will sometimes show signs of distribution (stalling, price reversal, etc.) or euphoria (buying climax).
What you need to know
After a sharp rally, the next immediate move out of a short consolidation may be a trap to lure investors into a stock that's under distribution.
This may be confirmed if price quickly reverses lower after breaking out to new highs (Step 3).
Historical Stock Chart Examples 1A & 1B: K Swiss (KSWS) 1999
Click to enlarge 1A
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Click to enlarge 1B
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